From: Predictors of intubation and mortality in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study
Variable | Valid cases | Alive n=129 | Death n=58 | Total | OR (univariable) | Cut point | AUC |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
Age (year) | 62 (55–69) | 71 (63–78)* | 64 (57–72) | 2.42 (1.54–3.97, p< 0.001) | 65 | 0.69 | |
Sex | |||||||
Male | 140 | 90 (70%) | 50 (86%) | 140 (75%) | - | - | |
Female | 47 | 39 (30%) | 8 (14%)* | 47 (25%) | 0.37 (0.15–0.82, p=0.019) | - | |
PaO2/FIO2 ratio | 181 | 267 (227–306) | 217 (168–266)* | 258 (208–309) | 0.48 (0.30–0.75, p=0.002) | 241 | 0.68 |
SpO2 (%) | 187 | 92 (89–95) | 87 (80–93)* | 91 (87–95) | 0.63 (0.47–0.84, p=0.002) | 88.4 | 0.66 |
Symptom onset | 177 | 7 (5–10) | 7 (4–9) | 7 (5–10) | 0.71 (0.43–1.13, p=0.160 | 1 | 0.58 |
Body mass index (kg/m2) | 129 | 27.7 (24–31) | 27.3 (24–31) | 27.5 (24–31) | 0.73 (0.47–1.09, p=0.143) | 27.77 | 0.55 |
Comorbidity | |||||||
Hypertension | 187 | 60 (47%) | 36 (62%)* | 96 (51%) | 1.88 (1.01–3.58, p=0.050) | - | - |
CAD | 187 | 10 (8%) | 10 (17%) | 20 (11%) | 2.48 (0.96–6.42, p=0.058) | - | - |
Other cardiovascular disease | 187 | 7 (5%) | 9 (15%)* | 16 (9%) | 3.20 (1.13–9.42, p=0.029) | - | - |
Neurologic | 187 | 6 (5%) | 3 (5%) | 9 (5%) | 1.12 (0.23–4.40, p=0.878) | - | - |
Diabetes | 187 | 29 (23%) | 16 (28%) | 45 (24%) | 1.31 (0.64–2.65, p=0.451) | - | - |
Chronic kidney failure | 187 | 8 (6%) | 6 (10%) | 14 (8%) | 1.75 (0.55–5.27, p=0.324) | - | - |
Oncologic | 187 | 9 (7.0%) | 9 (16%) | 18 (10%) | 2.45 (0.91–6.63, p=0.074) | - | - |
Dyslipidemia | 187 | 18 (14.0%) | 8 (14%) | 26 (14%) | 0.99 (0.38–2.35, p=0.977) | - | - |
COPD | 187 | 5 (4%) | 5 (9%) | 10 (5%) | 2.34 (0.63–8.74, p=0.193) | - | - |
Asthma | 187 | 3 (2%) | 2 (3%) | 5 (3%) | 1.50 (0.19–9.29, p=0.662) | - | - |
Autoimmune disease | 187 | 11 (9%) | 4 (7%) | 15 (8.0%) | 0.79 (0.21–2.44, p=0.705) | - | - |
Mental illness | 187 | 6 (5%) | 3 (5%) | 9 (5%) | 1.12 (0.23–4.40, p=0.878) | - | - |
Smoking history | |||||||
Never | 172 | 121 (94%) | 51 (88%) | 172 (92.0%) | - | - | |
Current or former | 15 | 8 (6%) | 7 (12%) | 15 (8.0%) | 2.08 (0.69–6.08, p=0.179) | - | - |
CT findings | |||||||
Well-aerated Parenchyma | 187 | 72 (63–81) | 62 (50–75)* | 68 (57–79) | 0.51 (0.33–0.77, p=0.002) | 66.1 | 0.65 |
Ground glass opacity | 187 | 24 (15–33) | 32 (24–41)* | 26 (16–35) | 1.95 (1.24–3.14, p=0.005) | 29 | 0.64 |
Other: consolidation and fibrosis | 187 | 3 (0.3–5) | 6 (0.7–10)* | 3 (0.2–7) | 1.47 (1.08–2.04, p=0.017) | 5.7 | 0.62 |
Laboratory findings | |||||||
White blood count, X 103/μL | 187 | 6.1 (4.2–7.9) | 6.9 (4.8–9) | 6.2 (4.2–8.2) | 1.20 (0.87–1.67, p=0.259) | 6.96 | 0.55 |
Lymphocytes count, X 103/μL | 187 | 1 (0.7–1.3) | 0.8 (0.5–1)* | 1 (0.7–1.3) | 0.64 (0.40–0.96, p=0.047) | 1 | 0.6 |
C-reactive protein, mg/dL | 186 | 8 (2–13) | 11 (5–16)* | 8 (3–14) | 2.15 (1.34–3.53, p=0.002) | 8.42 | 0.65 |
Lactate dehydrogenase, U/L | 149 | 708 (505–911) | 824 (601–1047)* | 754 (543–965) | 1.70 (1.10–2.69, p=0.018) | 786 | 0.62 |
Glycemia, mg/dL | 187 | 120 (97–143) | 133 (108–157) | 125 (101–149) | 1.22 (0.97–1.54, p=0.086) | 138 | 0.59 |
Fibrinogen, mg/dL | 70 | 576 (506–647) | 591 (489–693) | 580 (502–658) | 1.25 (0.83–1.92, p=0.280) | 597 | 0.53 |
Ferritin, ng/mL | 57 | 1041 (588–1494) | 1300 (872–1728) | 1125 (671–1579) | 1.53 (1.01–2.56, p=0.068) | 1139 | 0.67 |
Procalcitonin | 118 | 0.1 (0.05–0.1) | 0.3 (0.05–0.5) | 0.1 (0–0.2) | 1.05 (1.00–1.12, p=0.120) | 0.23 | 0.76 |
Troponine ng/L | 109 | 11 (3–19) | 17 (4–30) | 12 (2–22) | 1.00 (0.94–1.05, p=0.913) | 22 | 0.65 |
Oxygenation support | |||||||
Standard O2 therapy | 41 (32%) | 4 (7%)* | 0.27 (0.07–0.76, p=0.022) | ||||
Non invasive ventilation | 63 (49%) | 23 (40%) | - | ||||
Intubated | 25 (19%) | 31 (53%)* | 3.40 (1.68–7.00, p=0.001) |