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Table 1 Patient characteristics and clinical, laboratory, and CT findings relative to alive and death patients

From: Predictors of intubation and mortality in COVID-19 patients: a retrospective study

Variable

Valid cases

Alive

n=129

Death

n=58

Total

OR (univariable)

Cut point

AUC

Age (year)

 

62 (55–69)

71 (63–78)*

64 (57–72)

2.42 (1.54–3.97, p< 0.001)

65

0.69

Sex

       

 Male

140

90 (70%)

50 (86%)

140 (75%)

-

-

 

 Female

47

39 (30%)

8 (14%)*

47 (25%)

0.37 (0.15–0.82, p=0.019)

-

 

PaO2/FIO2 ratio

181

267 (227–306)

217 (168–266)*

258 (208–309)

0.48 (0.30–0.75, p=0.002)

241

0.68

SpO2 (%)

187

92 (89–95)

87 (80–93)*

91 (87–95)

0.63 (0.47–0.84, p=0.002)

88.4

0.66

Symptom onset

177

7 (5–10)

7 (4–9)

7 (5–10)

0.71 (0.43–1.13, p=0.160

1

0.58

Body mass index (kg/m2)

129

27.7 (24–31)

27.3 (24–31)

27.5 (24–31)

0.73 (0.47–1.09, p=0.143)

27.77

0.55

Comorbidity

       

 Hypertension

187

60 (47%)

36 (62%)*

96 (51%)

1.88 (1.01–3.58, p=0.050)

-

-

 CAD

187

10 (8%)

10 (17%)

20 (11%)

2.48 (0.96–6.42, p=0.058)

-

-

 Other cardiovascular disease

187

7 (5%)

9 (15%)*

16 (9%)

3.20 (1.13–9.42, p=0.029)

-

-

 Neurologic

187

6 (5%)

3 (5%)

9 (5%)

1.12 (0.23–4.40, p=0.878)

-

-

 Diabetes

187

29 (23%)

16 (28%)

45 (24%)

1.31 (0.64–2.65, p=0.451)

-

-

 Chronic kidney failure

187

8 (6%)

6 (10%)

14 (8%)

1.75 (0.55–5.27, p=0.324)

-

-

 Oncologic

187

9 (7.0%)

9 (16%)

18 (10%)

2.45 (0.91–6.63, p=0.074)

-

-

 Dyslipidemia

187

18 (14.0%)

8 (14%)

26 (14%)

0.99 (0.38–2.35, p=0.977)

-

-

 COPD

187

5 (4%)

5 (9%)

10 (5%)

2.34 (0.63–8.74, p=0.193)

-

-

 Asthma

187

3 (2%)

2 (3%)

5 (3%)

1.50 (0.19–9.29, p=0.662)

-

-

 Autoimmune disease

187

11 (9%)

4 (7%)

15 (8.0%)

0.79 (0.21–2.44, p=0.705)

-

-

 Mental illness

187

6 (5%)

3 (5%)

9 (5%)

1.12 (0.23–4.40, p=0.878)

-

-

Smoking history

       

 Never

172

121 (94%)

51 (88%)

172 (92.0%)

 

-

-

 Current or former

15

8 (6%)

7 (12%)

15 (8.0%)

2.08 (0.69–6.08, p=0.179)

-

-

CT findings

       

 Well-aerated Parenchyma

187

72 (63–81)

62 (50–75)*

68 (57–79)

0.51 (0.33–0.77, p=0.002)

66.1

0.65

 Ground glass opacity

187

24 (15–33)

32 (24–41)*

26 (16–35)

1.95 (1.24–3.14, p=0.005)

29

0.64

 Other: consolidation and fibrosis

187

3 (0.3–5)

6 (0.7–10)*

3 (0.2–7)

1.47 (1.08–2.04, p=0.017)

5.7

0.62

Laboratory findings

       

 White blood count, X 103/μL

187

6.1 (4.2–7.9)

6.9 (4.8–9)

6.2 (4.2–8.2)

1.20 (0.87–1.67, p=0.259)

6.96

0.55

 Lymphocytes count, X 103/μL

187

1 (0.7–1.3)

0.8 (0.5–1)*

1 (0.7–1.3)

0.64 (0.40–0.96, p=0.047)

1

0.6

 C-reactive protein, mg/dL

186

8 (2–13)

11 (5–16)*

8 (3–14)

2.15 (1.34–3.53, p=0.002)

8.42

0.65

 Lactate dehydrogenase, U/L

149

708 (505–911)

824 (601–1047)*

754 (543–965)

1.70 (1.10–2.69, p=0.018)

786

0.62

 Glycemia, mg/dL

187

120 (97–143)

133 (108–157)

125 (101–149)

1.22 (0.97–1.54, p=0.086)

138

0.59

 Fibrinogen, mg/dL

70

576 (506–647)

591 (489–693)

580 (502–658)

1.25 (0.83–1.92, p=0.280)

597

0.53

 Ferritin, ng/mL

57

1041 (588–1494)

1300 (872–1728)

1125 (671–1579)

1.53 (1.01–2.56, p=0.068)

1139

0.67

 Procalcitonin

118

0.1 (0.05–0.1)

0.3 (0.05–0.5)

0.1 (0–0.2)

1.05 (1.00–1.12, p=0.120)

0.23

0.76

 Troponine ng/L

109

11 (3–19)

17 (4–30)

12 (2–22)

1.00 (0.94–1.05, p=0.913)

22

0.65

Oxygenation support

       

 Standard O2 therapy

 

41 (32%)

4 (7%)*

 

0.27 (0.07–0.76, p=0.022)

  

 Non invasive ventilation

 

63 (49%)

23 (40%)

 

-

  

 Intubated

 

25 (19%)

31 (53%)*

 

3.40 (1.68–7.00, p=0.001)

  
  1. Descriptive statistics were reported as median and interquartile range for continuous variables and percentages (absolute numbers) for categorical variables. The logistic regression model, Odds Ratio (OR) together with the 95% confidence intervals (95% CI), and p values are reported for each predictor considered. Asterisks show statistical significance variables. The cut point maximizing the sum of sensitivity and specificity is shown for the continuous variable together with the corresponding area under the curve (AUC)