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Fig. 1 | Journal of Anesthesia, Analgesia and Critical Care

Fig. 1

From: The potential role of ICU capacity strain in COVID-19 mortality: comparison between first and second waves in Pavia, Italy

Fig. 1

The first 8 weeks of the two pandemic waves in ICU and in the wards: this timeframe was representative of the critical phase for our healthcare system, including rapid increase of ICU patients up to a peak (red arrows), plateau phase, and initial decline (green arrows). A Wave 1 in ICU. A steep increase of ICU COVID-19 patients was observed until a peak of 64; pre-pandemic capacity was 32 beds. The peak was reached on day 34; a plateau phase persisted until day 48; thereafter, a reduction was observed. After 8 weeks, 139 patients had been admitted to ICU (13.1% of hospital admissions) with 55 (39.6%) patients still in ICU, 30 (21.6%) discharged and 54 (38.8%) deceased. At this time, mortality was 54/84 (64.3%) in ICU patients. B Wave 2 in ICU. The initial increase was slower, and a lower peak (54 ICU patients) was achieved on day 40; a plateau phase lasted until day 44, when the decline started. After 8 weeks, 119 patients had been admitted to ICU (17.7% of hospital admissions, p=0.0104 vs. wave 1) with 45 (37.8%) patients still in ICU, 56 (47.1%) discharged, and 18 (15.1%) cumulative deaths (p<0.0001 vs. wave 1). At this time, mortality was 18/74 (24.3%) in ICU patients (p<0.0001 vs. wave 1). C Wave 1 in the wards. After 8 weeks, 923 patients had been admitted (86.9% of hospital admissions) with 175 (19.0%) patients still in the ward, 475 (51.5%) discharged, and 273 (29.6%) deceased. At this time, mortality was 273/748 (36.5%) in ward patients. D Wave 2 in the wards. After 8 weeks, 555 patients had been admitted (82.3% of hospital admissions, p=0.0104 vs. wave 1) with 134 (24.1%) patients still in the ward, 334 (60.2%) discharged and 87 (15.7%) deceased (p<0.0001 vs. wave 1). At this time, mortality was 87/421 (20.7%) in ward patients (p<0.0001 vs. wave 1)

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